93L- East of Florida - Page 5 - Cruise Line Fans: Cruise Forum, Reviews and Chat From Real Cruisers

sue miller · 09-20-2007, 08:33 AM

Hasn't moved much..........recon going in today!!!

The latest at 10:45 UTC

sue miller · 09-20-2007, 12:28 PM

000
ABNT20 KNHC 201510
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS
FORMED IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW. SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS NON-TROPICAL SYSTEM
REMAINS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY OR
TOMORROW AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO MONITOR THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON. ALL INTERESTS
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

we may have Jerry soon!!

sue miller · 09-20-2007, 07:02 PM

425
Abnt20 Knhc 202123
Twoat
Tropical Weather Outlook
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
530 Pm Edt Thu Sep 20 2007

For The North Atlantic...caribbean Sea And The Gulf Of Mexico...

an Air Force Reconnaissance Plane Found A Well-defined Area Of Low
Pressure In The Gulf Of Mexico About 115 Miles West-southwest Of
Tampa Florida. This System Is Accompanied By Strong Gusty Winds In
A Few Squalls But The Overall Thunderstorm Activity Remains Limited
And Disorganized. Environmental Conditions Are Favorable For This
System To Become A Subtropical Or Tropical Cyclone At Any Time
During The Next 24 Hours. The Low Is Forecast To Move Slowly Toward
The West-northwest...and All Interests Along The Northern Gulf
Coast Should Closely Monitor The Progress Of This System.

Elsewhere...tropical Cyclone Formation Is Not Expected During The
Next 48 Hours.

$$

Forecaster Avila

Char · 09-20-2007, 08:10 PM

Doesn't sound good. Some of the oil rigs in the gulf have already evacuated in anticipation of severe weather.

sue miller · 09-20-2007, 09:04 PM

Twd 805:

...special Feature...

An Air Force Reconnaissance Plane Found A Well-defined Area Of
Low Pressure...analyzed 1005 Mb...centered About 100 Nm Wsw Of
Tampa Florida Near 27n84w. Satellite Imagery And Doppler Radar
Continue To Show A Large Disorganized Area Of Cloudiness And
Showers Generally N Of 25n E Of 87w In The Gulf Of Mexico And
Over And Just E Of Florida. The Overall Tstm Activity Is Limited
And Extends Roughly Within 150 Nm Of The Center...which Includes
W Central And Nw Florida. Sfc Observations Are Currently
Reporting Winds Mostly In The 15-25 Kt Range...strongest N Of
The Center Where The Pressure Gradient Is Tightened Between The
Low And Ridging To The Nw. Environmental Conditions Are
Favorable For This System To Become A Subtropical Or Tropical
Cyclone At Any Time During The Next 24 Hours. The Low Is
Forecast To Move Slowly Toward The West-northwest...and All
Interests Along The Northern Gulf Coast Should Closely Monitor
The Progress Of This System.