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Old 09-13-2007, 12:56 PM sue miller is offline     #21 (permalink)
I saw that!! UGH

My Signature Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.


Past Cruises Most people walk into and out of your life . . . but FRIENDS leave footprints in your heart


Old 09-13-2007, 12:58 PM canarymoon is offline     #22 (permalink)
Yep. But, at this point, that cone is pretty darned wide as it approaches the box. If it goes a bit more right, it could miss it. OR it coule even dissapatae before then.
It's definately 'wat and see' mode at this point with TD 8.



Old 09-13-2007, 02:18 PM sue miller is offline     #23 (permalink)
From Accuweather........................



My Signature Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.


Past Cruises Most people walk into and out of your life . . . but FRIENDS leave footprints in your heart


Old 09-13-2007, 02:27 PM canarymoon is offline     #24 (permalink)
Wow -
What an amazing Graphic, Sue!

Plainly shows the huge difference between the NHC's projection and that of Accuweather.



Old 09-13-2007, 05:38 PM canarymoon is offline     #25 (permalink)
Accuweather is now backing off that agressive forecast they published earlier...

They are no longer intensifying it to a Cat 2, and they how now slowed the arrival at (or near to ) PR by a whole day.

Yup keeps it as a low now!! Recon is going in, think this is the first time recon is going in east of 55, should be there by 7 p.m., going out of barbados!!



Old 09-13-2007, 05:39 PM canarymoon is offline     #26 (permalink)
Here it is:




Old 09-13-2007, 05:49 PM canarymoon is offline     #27 (permalink)
5 PM Advisory

000
Wtnt33 Knhc 132033
Tcpat3
Bulletin
Tropical Depression Eight Advisory Number 6
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al082007
500 Pm Ast Thu Sep 13 2007

...poorly Organized Depression Slowly Moving West- Orthwestward...

At 500 Pm Ast The Center Of Tropical Depression Eight Was Located Near Latitude 14.2 North...longitude 48.4 West Or About 865 Miles East Of The Lesser Antilles.

The Depression Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 6 Mph. This General Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next 24 Hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 35 Mph With Higher Gusts. Although Upper-level conditions Have Become Less Favorable For Strengthening...the Depression Still Has The Chance To Become A Tropical Storm During The Next 12 To 24 Hours. A Noaa Hurricane Hunter plane Is Scheduled To Investigate The System This Evening.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1006 Mb.

Repeating The 500 Pm Ast Position...14.2 N...48.4 W. Movement Toward...west-northwest Near 6 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...35 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1006 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 1100 Pm Ast.

$$
Forecaster Roberts/beven

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Old 09-13-2007, 05:59 PM canarymoon is offline     #28 (permalink)

My Signature
Cruise Gear, Bon Voyage Gifts,
Cruise Memorabilia, and more!
Cruise Countdown princess
Sovereign of the Seas in Sailing
Past Cruises CCL: Fantasy- 06/02. Valor- 09/06. Freedom- 05/09 RCL: Sovereign - 01/02, 11/02, 6/03, 08/03, 09/03, 08/04, 09/04, 01/05, 09/05, 09/05, 12/05, 04/06, 08/06, 12/06, 02/07, 09/07, 09/08, 10/08, 10/08. Mariner - 12/03. Radiance 4/04. Serenade 11/05. Rhapsody 05/07. Celebrity: ZENITH 04/05. PRINCESS: Crown Princess 10/08, Emerald Princess 10/09


Old 09-13-2007, 06:01 PM canarymoon is offline     #29 (permalink)
Present NHC track has it in the Hebert Box Tuesday afternoon. . .



Old 09-13-2007, 06:18 PM sue miller is offline     #30 (permalink)
Expects it to be a TS before 2 tomorrow, that is a surprise, good that it is missing the islands!!

My Signature Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.


Past Cruises Most people walk into and out of your life . . . but FRIENDS leave footprints in your heart


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