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Old 09-11-2007, 10:39 PM sue miller is offline     #11 (permalink)
You should be OK Chuck, we are looking at up to 10 days before it gets close!!

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Old 09-11-2007, 10:50 PM Cruise Cat is offline     #12 (permalink)
We leave from NYC on Sunday and will be at San Juan, St. Thomas, and Tortolla on Wed, Thur, and Fri of next week. The way Jeff Masters tells it and the models he shows, it will still be right near Peurto Rico by then. It is only moving at about 10 mph!

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Old 09-11-2007, 10:54 PM canarymoon is offline     #13 (permalink)



Old 09-11-2007, 10:55 PM Cruise Cat is offline     #14 (permalink)
Here is what they are showing on the Models:
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Old 09-11-2007, 10:58 PM sue miller is offline     #15 (permalink)
Yes and you should get to all those ports, depending on where it is, north or south of the islands, they could reverse ports, or go over or under it and follow it in, I have done that before!!

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Old 09-11-2007, 11:00 PM Cruise Cat is offline     #16 (permalink)
We are hoping for maybe a Key West and then Bahamas and then Bermuda itinerary!

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Old 09-11-2007, 11:06 PM canarymoon is offline     #17 (permalink)
The models - on something that is not even a TD yet - are not something to take too seriously.
Because it has no defined center, there is not an accurate point (lat/long) for them to be initialized on. The models all ASSUME a closed center and work from that assumption, even when there isn't one.



Old 09-11-2007, 11:18 PM canarymoon is offline     #18 (permalink)
10:30pm TWO

000
Abnt20 Knhc 120201
Twoat
Tropical Weather Outlook
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
1030 Pm Edt Tue Sep 11 2007

For The North Atlantic...caribbean Sea And The Gulf Of Mexico...

Showers And Thunderstorms Have Become A Little More Concentrated In
Association With The Broad Area Of Low Pressure Located About 1200
Miles East Of The Windward Islands. Conditions Appear Favorable For
This System To Develop Into A Tropical Depression Within The Next
Day Or So As It Moves West-northwestward At 5 To 10 Mph.

Shower And Thunderstorm Activity Associated With A Broad Low
Pressure Area Located Over The Northwestern Gulf Of Mexico Has
Diminished This Evening. However...environmental Conditions Appear
Conducive For Some Development Of This System As It Drifts Slowly
West-northwestward Over The Next Day Or Two.

Elsewhere...tropical Cyclone Formation Is Not Expected During The
Next 48 Hours.

$$



Old 09-12-2007, 07:53 AM canarymoon is offline     #19 (permalink)
5:30am TWO

000
Abnt20 Knhc 120920
Twoat
Tropical Weather Outlook
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
530 Am Edt Wed Sep 12 2007

For The North Atlantic...caribbean Sea And The Gulf Of Mexico...

an Area Of Low Pressure Is Located About 1150 Miles East Of The
Windward Islands. This System Continues To Become Better
Organized...and Conditions Appear Favorable For A Tropical
Depression To Form Later Today Or Tonight As The System Moves
West-northwestward Around 10 Mph.

An Area Of Low Pressure Is Located Over The Northwestern Gulf Of
Mexico. Showers And Thunderstorms Associated With The Low Have
Increased Early This Morning And Are Spreading Across Portions Of
The Texas Coast. Environmental Conditions Appear To Be Conducive
For Some Development Of This System Over The Next Day Or So As It
Drifts Slowly West-northwestward Over The Next Day Or Two.

Elsewhere...tropical Cyclone Formation Is Not Expected During The
Next 48 Hours.

$$

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Old 09-12-2007, 08:09 AM Char is offline     #20 (permalink)
More rain for Texas! They have had enough for a while.

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