Dean is a Cat 5 landfall at Majahual - Page 3 - Cruise Line Fans: Cruise Forum, Reviews and Chat From Real Cruisers

canarymoon · 08-20-2007, 11:39 PM

This is the web cam at Majahual.

canarymoon · 08-20-2007, 11:42 PM

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html

This is one utterly frightening piece of work!

sue miller · 08-20-2007, 11:49 PM

638
Wtnt24 Knhc 210243
Tcmat4
Hurricane Dean Forecast/advisory Number 32
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
0300 Utc Tue Aug 21 2007

At 11 Pm Edt...0300 Utc...the Government Of Mexico Has Extended The
Hurricane Warning Westward From Ciudad De Carmen To Chilitepec. A
Hurricane Warning Is Now In Effect For The Entire Coastline Of
Belize...along The East Coast Of The Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico
From The Belize/mexico Border Northward To Cancun...and Along The
West Coast Of The Yucatan Peninsula From South Of Progresso
Southward To Chilitepec. Preparations To Protect Life And Property
Along The East Coast Of The Yucatan Peninsula Should Have Already
Been Completed. Preparations Elsewhere In The Hurricane Warning
Area Should Be Rushed To Completion.

At 11 Pm Edt...the Government Of Mexico Has Issued A Tropical Storm
Warning And A Hurricane Watch From West Of Chilitepec Westward To
Veracruz Mexico...and A Hurricane Watch Has Also Been Issued From
Veracruz To Tampico. A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane
Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36
Hours. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm
Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24
Hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning Is Also In Effect Along The Northern Coast
Of The Yucatan Peninsula From North Of Cancun To Progresso.

A Tropical Storm Watch Also Remains In Effect For The Following
Provinces Of Cuba...pinar Del Rio...la Habana...and Isla De La
Juventud.

Interests Elsewhere In The Southern Gulf Of Mexico Should Closely
Monitor The Progress Of Dean.

Hurricane Center Located Near 18.4n 86.0w At 21/0300z
Position Accurate Within 10 Nm

Present Movement Toward The West Or 275 Degrees At 17 Kt

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure 914 Mb
Eye Diameter 20 Nm
Max Sustained Winds 140 Kt With Gusts To 170 Kt.
64 Kt....... 50ne 40se 30sw 50nw.
50 Kt.......100ne 75se 50sw 100nw.
34 Kt.......150ne 150se 90sw 125nw.
12 Ft Seas..300ne 300se 200sw 300nw.
Winds And Seas Vary Greatly In Each Quadrant. Radii In Nautical
Miles Are The Largest Radii Expected Anywhere In That Quadrant.

Repeat...center Located Near 18.4n 86.0w At 21/0300z
At 21/0000z Center Was Located Near 18.2n 85.1w

Forecast Valid 21/1200z 18.7n 88.6w...inland Over Yucatan
Max Wind 140 Kt...gusts 170 Kt.
64 Kt... 50ne 40se 25sw 50nw.
50 Kt...100ne 75se 50sw 100nw.
34 Kt...150ne 150se 75sw 125nw.

Forecast Valid 22/0000z 19.2n 92.1w
Max Wind 85 Kt...gusts 105 Kt.
64 Kt... 50ne 30se 25sw 50nw.
50 Kt...100ne 60se 50sw 100nw.
34 Kt...150ne 120se 75sw 125nw.

Forecast Valid 22/1200z 19.6n 95.6w
Max Wind 95 Kt...gusts 115 Kt.
64 Kt... 50ne 40se 30sw 50nw.
50 Kt...100ne 75se 50sw 100nw.
34 Kt...150ne 150se 90sw 125nw.

Forecast Valid 23/0000z 19.6n 99.1w...inland Mainland Mexico
Max Wind 30 Kt...gusts 50 Kt.

Forecast Valid 24/0000z...dissipated

Request For 3 Hourly Ship Reports Within 300 Miles Of 18.4n 86.0w

Next Advisory At 21/0900z

$$
Forecaster Knabb/roberts

canarymoon · 08-20-2007, 11:56 PM

From the Storm Carib board (emphasis mine)

From: Gustavo Zambrana <gustavozambrana417 at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2007 02:43:20 +0000

Good evening to everyone! As Dean passes by everything seems to be quite calm in Tegucigalpa. The sky is overcast and we can see lightning every once in a while. If you check the satellite image, you can see that almost 100% of Honduras is covered by cloud bands. We expect to see some rain during the night. Red alert has been issued to the Bay Islands since it became a category 5 hurricane. We keep our prayers for the people in the Yucatan area. Everybody keep safe up there and God Speed... Gustavo from Tegucigalpa

sue miller · 08-20-2007, 11:57 PM

Recon takes off at 11 p.m.

canarymoon · 08-21-2007, 12:00 AM

God only knows what they will find this time...

Do you know where they are taking off FROM?

canarymoon · 08-21-2007, 12:37 AM

HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1100 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

...EYE OF POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE DEAN JUST A FEW HOURS FROM LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

AT 11 PM EDT THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING WESTWARD FROM CIUDAD DE CARMEN TO CHILITEPEC. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF BELIZE...ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESSO SOUTHWARD TO CHILITEPEC. .

AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM WEST OF CHILITEPEC WESTWARD TO VERACRUZ MEXICO...AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO PROGRESSO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD.

AT 1100 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 310 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE EYE OF DEAN WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA VERY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. DEAN WILL CROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY AND LIKELY REACH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 160 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DEAN CROSSES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...DEAN IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES.

THE MOST RECENT MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 914 MB.

DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 12 TO 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DEAN MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...18.4 N...86.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...914 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/ROBERTS

[GVIDEO][/GVIDEO]

MD11F · 08-21-2007, 03:19 AM

Hurricane Dean 2:00 AM Advisory 08/21/2007:

Hurricane DEAN Public Advisory

Cruise Cat · 08-21-2007, 06:55 AM

Weather Channel reports that Dean made landfall at 3:30 am Central time about 45 miles north of Chetumal..... 165 mph

Cruise Cat · 08-21-2007, 06:57 AM

Wtnt34 Knhc 210857
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Advisory Number 33
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
400 Am Cdt Tue Aug 21 2007

...category Five Hurricane Dean Makes Landfall On The East Coast Of
The Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico...

At 400 Am Cdt...0900 Utc...the Government Of Mexico Has Replaced The
Tropical Storm Warning And Hurricane Watch With A Hurricane Warning
From West Of Chilitepec To Veracruz Mexico.

A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For The Entire Coastline Of Belize
And Along The East Coast Of The Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico
From The Belize/mexico Border Northward To Cancun. A Hurricane
Warning Is Also In Effect Along The West Coast Of The Yucatan
Peninsula And The Gulf Coast Of Mexico From South Of Progreso
Southward And Westward To Veracruz. Preparations In The Hurricane
Warning Area Along The Gulf Coast Of Mexico Should Be Rushed To
Completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning Is Also In Effect Along The Northern Coast
Of The Yucatan Peninsula From North Of Cancun To Progresso.

A Tropical Storm Watch Also Remains In Effect For The Following
Provinces Of Cuba...pinar Del Rio...la Habana...and Isla De La
Juventud.

Interests Elsewhere In The Southern Gulf Of Mexico Should Closely
Monitor The Progress Of Dean.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

Reports From An Air Force Hurricane Hunter Plane Indicate That The
Eye Of Dean Made Landfall On The East Coast Of The Yucatan
Peninsula Near Costa Maya Or Majahual Around 330 Am Cdt. This
Location Is About 40 Miles...65 Km...east-northeast Of Chetumal
Mexico

At 400 Am Cdt...0900z...the Center Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Just Inland Near Latitude 18.7 North...longitude 87.8 West Or About
35 Miles... 55 Km...east-northeast Of Chetumal Mexico And About 195
Miles...315 Km...east-southeast Of Campeche Mexico.

Dean Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 20 Mph...32 Km/hr...
And A West-northwestward To Westward Motion Is Expected Today And
Tonight. On The Forecast Track The Center Will Cross The Yucatan
Peninsula Today And Likely Reach The Southern Bay Of Campeche
Tonight.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 165 Mph...270 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dean Is A Category Five Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson
Scale. Although Some Weakening Is Forecast As Dean Crosses The
Yucatan Peninsula...dean Is Expected To Maintain Hurricane Strength
Throughout The Next 24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles...95 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 175
Miles...280 Km.

The Hurricane Hunter Plane Reported A Minimum Central Pressure Of
906 Mb...26.75 Inches...just Before Landfall.

Storm Surge Flooding Of 12 To 18 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels Along
With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves Is Possible Near And To
The North Of Where Dean Made Landfall Along The East Coast Of The
Yucatan Peninsula.

Dean Is Expected To Produce Storm Total Rainfall Of 5 To 10 Inches
Over The Isthmus Of Tehuantepec And Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico...
Belize...guatemala...and Northern Honduras...with Maximum Amounts
Of Up To 20 Inches. These Rains Could Cause Life-threatening Flash
Floods And Mud Slides.

Repeating The 400 Am Cdt Position...18.7 N...87.8 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 20 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...165
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...906 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 700 Am Cdt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 1000
Am Cdt.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/brown