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Hurricane Dean Intermediate Advisory Number 19a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
800 Pm Ast Fri Aug 17 2007
...dean Reaches Category Four Strength As Its Center Passes South Of
The Virgin Islands...
At 800 Pm Ast...0000 Utc...the Government Of The Dominican Republic
Has Issued A Hurricane Warning Along Portions Of The Southern Coast
Of The Dominican Republic From Barahona Westward To The
Haiti/dominican Republic Border...and A Tropical Storm Warning From
Cabo Engano Westward To Barahona. A Hurricane Warning Means That
Hurricane Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within
The Next 24 Hours. Preparations To Protect Life And Property
Should Be Rushed To Completion. A Tropical Storm Warning Means
That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area
Within The Next 24 Hours.
A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For Guadeloupe And Its
Dependencies. This Warning Will Likely Be Discontinued Later
Tonight.
A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Following
Islands Of The Lesser Antilles...montserrat...antigua...nevis...st
Kitts...barbuda...and Anguilla And The British Virgin Islands. The
Warning Will Likely Be Discontinued Later Tonight.
A Tropical Storm Warning Also Remains In Effect For The U.s. Virgin
Islands And Puerto Rico.
A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Remain In Effect For
Haiti From The Haiti/dominican Republic Border To Port-au-prince.
A Hurricane Watch Is Also In Effect For Jamaica. A Hurricane Watch
Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch
Area... Generally Within 36 Hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch Is In Effect For Portions Of Southeastern
Cuba...from The Province Of Camaguey Eastward To The Province Of
Guantanamo. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm
Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36
Hours.
Interests Elsewhere In The Central And Western Caribbean...including
Western Cuba...the Cayman Islands...and The Yucatan Peninsula Of
Mexico Should Closely Monitor The Progress Of Dean.
For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.
At 800 Pm Ast...0000z...the Center Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Near Latitude 14.9 North...longitude 65.1 West Or About 800 Miles...
1290 Km...east-southeast Of Kingston Jamaica And About 255 Miles...
410 Km...south-southeast Of San Juan Puerto Rico.
Dean Is Moving Toward The West Near 19 Mph...31 Km/hr. This
Motion Is Expected To Continue Through Saturday With A Gradual
Decrease In Forward Speed. On This Track...the Core Of The
Hurricane Will Be Moving Well South Of Puerto Rico Tonight.
Reports From An Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance Aircraft Indicate
That Maximum Sustained Winds Have Increased To At Least 130
Mph...215 Km/hr...with Higher Gusts. Dean Is Now A Category Four
Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson Hurricane Scale. Some Additional
Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours.
Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 30 Miles...45 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 185
Miles...295 Km.
The Minimum Central Pressure Just Reported By The Aircraft Was 946
Mb...27.93 Inches.
Storm Total Rainfall Amounts Of 1 To 2 Inches Can Be Expected From
Dean Over Puerto Rico...the Dominican Republic And Haiti With
Maximum Amounts Up To 5 Inches Possible. These Rains Could Cause
Life-threatening Flash Floods And Mudslides.
Repeating The 800 Pm Ast Position...14.9 N...65.1 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 19 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...130 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...946 Mb.
The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
1100 Pm Ast.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO AT LEAST 130
MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
the additional strengthening is what got my attention. Hopefully everyone has secured their property and themselves, stocked up on food, batteries and candles and is ready to settle in for the long haul.
Dean looks like he will impact Jamaica mostly during daylight hours, which if there is a preference that is it. It is scary to have this happen in the night with no power and all the noise outside - not knowing what you are going to find when daylight comes.
Stay safe everyone, will keep the reports coming once it has started for as long as possible
Our sincerest thoughts and wishes go out to our neighbours to the east who have suffered Dean's wrath, please know this.
Sue M
- Jamaica braces as Dean reaches Category 4
From: Blayz Brooks <blayzbrooks at yahoo.com>
Date: Fri, 17 Aug 2007 18:02:14 -0700 (PDT)
The latest NHC advisory is really frighteningCAT.4!!!! with winds of WINDS 135 MPH.According to ODPEM massive evacuations are likelyearly tomorrow morning,and all persons living in lowlying and Coastal areas are to prepare to evacuate. Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller has announcedthat the Jamaica Urban Transit Company (JUTC) is incharge of transporting any evacuees. Mrs. Simpson Miller urged Jamaicans to take thehurricane threat seriously and to respond toevacuation orders. "The JUTC has made available 50 buses on standby toevacuate residents to shelters should it be necessary.All police, prison, fire officers and other members ofthe essential services who were on leave must nowreport to their respective organizations as part ofthe preparations to boost our security, search andrescue capabilities," said Mrs. Simpson Miller. There are current 200 shelters in Western Jamaica,most of which are schools .For the Capital City the main shelter will be theNational Area which has the capability of seatingthousands,(reminds me of Super Dome in Katrina)andseveral schools will be used as shelters.Jamaicans are urged to stock up as water as there willlikely be a disruption of service.The JPS has activated its emergency plan, WindsomeCallum said this after noon that in approaches theisland as a Category 4 the power Grid will be shutdown,meaning no light.HealthThe Kingston Public Hospital from this afternoon andinto tomorrow will be discharging patients that areable to move around,and only emergency surgeries willbe accepted.This will likely be a thumb rule for most if not allof the countries hospitals. Earlier today I went to the supermarket,Market toprepare for Hurricane Dean and I was surprised at thelarge crowds of people.In great demand were flashlights,lanterns and batterypowered radios,and a few stores I visited were short.I also visited the market to buy some kerosene oil formy storm lantern and there was a long line waiting,notonly was the wait long,but know Dean was coming thevendor increased the price to 400ja dollars a gallon from 350.On the streets,Dean was on the mind of everyone,Icould hear many people discussing how worried theywere and their hope that it changes course .Latest Release from metservice *** HURRICANE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA* * *A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for Jamaica asHurricane Dean, the first Hurricane of the 2007Atlantic Hurricane Season, continues to move towardsthe island. This means that hurricane conditions posea possible threat within 36 hours.At 4:00 p.m. the centre of Hurricane Dean was locatednear Latitude 15.0 degrees North, Longitude 64.5degrees West. This is about 415 kilometres (260 miles)south-southeast of Puerto Rico or close to 1290kilometres (805 miles) east-southeast of Morant Point,Jamaica.Dean is moving towards the west near 33 km/h (21 mph)and this general motion is expected to continue with aslight decrease in forward speed during the next 24hours.Maximum sustained winds are near 205 km/h (125 mph),with higher gusts, making Dean a Category 3 hurricaneon the Saffir-Simpson Scale, and further strengtheningis forecast during the next 24 hours. Hurricane forcewinds extend outward approximately 45 kilometres (30miles), while tropical storm force winds extend as faras 295 kilometres (185 miles) from the centre.Forecast models continue to project the eye of thehurricane south of Puerto Rico tonight, and over thewarm waters of the central Caribbean Sea south ofHispaniola on Saturday before moving over Jamaica onSunday morning. Should this occur, it is expected thatthe island would begin to experience an increase inshowers and gusty winds associated with the hurricaneby Saturday evening.Fishers on the cays and banks are again stronglyadvised to evacuate immediately with a view toreturning to the mainland by tonight. Other smallcraft operators in our coastal waters are advised toreturn to port and those in port should not ventureout.The Meteorological Service will continue to monitorthe progress of this system. All interests, especiallyfishers and other marine operators, should pay specialattention to subsequent Releases.The next Bulletin on Hurricane Dean will be issued at8:00 p.m.CDJ
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Hurricane Dean Tropical Cyclone Update
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
930 Pm Ast Fri Aug 17 2007
Data From The Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft Currently
Investigating Hurricane Dean Indicate That Maximum Sustained Winds
Have Increased To 145 Mph...category Four On The Saffir-simpson
Hurricane Scale.
Perry Declares Hurricane Dean Imminent Threat to Texas if (document.layers) {document.write(''); document.close();}coreAdsCreate('wnsz_20', 'loc', '100');
From The Office of Governor Rick Perry:
AUSTIN - Gov. Rick Perry today declared Hurricane Dean an imminent threat to Texas, initiating full-scale state hurricane preparedness efforts. Perry activated state resources, including search and rescue teams, as National Weather Service projections show Hurricane Dean could impact the Texas coast by the middle of next week.
"With the potential of another major storm entering the Gulf of Mexico and threatening the Texas coast, now is the time to begin mobilizing our resources and implementing our plan to ensure an orderly response before landfall," Perry said. "As we continue to monitor Hurricane Dean, the state is preparing to deploy ample resources, manpower and equipment to meet any potential need to ensure the safety of Texas residents."
Gov. Perry ordered the following state resources activated and actions to be taken:
250 Texas Military Forces (TMF) command personnel to support the potential activation and deployment of up to 10,000 TMF soldiers, if necessary
Texas Task Force 1 in Bryan/College Station - 300 personnel
Texas Task Force 2 in Dallas - 160 personnel
Texas Forest Service Lonestar Task Force - 80 personnel
250 Texas Parks and Wildlife Department crews with boats
The Texas fuel industry has begun surging fuel loads to all coastal counties to ensure adequate fuel supply
The Texas Department of Transportation (TxDOT) will begin displaying public service announcements at noon today in costal counties advising residents to keep their gas tanks full
TxDOT has also begun pre-positioning resources and sweeping evacuation corridors in preparation of extra evacuation lanes and contraflow
The State Operations Center (SOC) will be fully activated at 7:30 a.m. tomorrow, and twice daily conference calls are being held with local elected officials, first responders, mass care providers, the Federal Emergency Management Agency, and the National Weather Service to assess the latest weather projections and to coordinate state and local preparation and response.
If Dean continues to strengthen and threaten Texas, additional emergency forces could be activated and deployed in the coming days to appropriate staging areas near the Texas coast.
"As the state works with local leaders to activate emergency response plans, it is imperative that Texans living along the coast pay close attention to threatening weather conditions and heed the warnings of their local leaders," Perry said.
Blanco declares state of emergency in advance of Dean
Associated Press Reporting
Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco is declaring a state of emergency tonight as emergency preparedness workers continue to monitor Hurricane Dean's path toward the Gulf of Mexico.
At the same time, Blanco is sending a request to President Bush asking for a declaration that would allow federal resources to flow to the state should the storm strike any part of the Louisiana coast.
Based on projections, there was a slim chance of the storm jumping northward toward Louisiana. Still, it was enough of a chance to put Louisiana emergency preparedness officials on high alert, given the weakened condition of the state's coastline since it was pummeled by hurricanes Katrina and Rita a little less than two years ago.
Mark Smith, with the governor's office of emergency preparedness, says all critical state agencies would be staffed through the weekend.
They'll be ready, if needed, to make calls to contract workers who would move supplies to needed areas and to local government leaders who would provide evacuation orders.
Gov. Haley Barbour and FEMA officials on Friday warned Mississippians to prepare a plan of action in case Hurricane Dean turns and threatens the Gulf Coast next week.
Barbour said it was imperative that the 13,000 families still living in FEMA travel trailers be evacuated if an order has to be issued.
"Today people in Mississippi don't need to panic, but they need to think," Barbour said.
Barbour had been meeting with Gil H. Jamieson, FEMA's Associate Deputy Administrator-Gulf Coast Recovery, to review the state's hurricane preparedness plan and ongoing Hurricane Katrina recovery efforts.
Jamieson said there were 1.7 million liters of water, 1.3 million packaged meals, fuel, generators and other supplies stored at a facility in Purvis.
"We are ready for this hurricane that's out in the Atlantic," Jamieson said.
On Friday, Dean left a path of destruction through the eastern Caribbean islands of St. Lucia and Martinique. The Category 2 storm was headed to Jamaica and by next week, when it is projected to reach Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and Central America, it could strengthen into a dangerous Category 4 hurricane.
While the storm isn't projected to hit the coast, Barbour said it was better to err on the side of caution.
Barbour said people should think about where they will go if an evacuation is ordered and how they'll travel. He said people should make sure they have fuel, water, and a source of communication if electricity is lost.
"No government is big enough to do everything for everybody," Barbour said.
State and federal officials said they learned lessons about preparedness after Hurricane Katrina tore through the Gulf Coast in August 2005. The region is still trying to recover after the storm and remains plagued by housing and some economic development problems.
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Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Advisory Number 20
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
1100 Pm Ast Fri Aug 17 2007
...category Four Dean Intensifying Over The Eastern Caribbean...
At 11 Pm Ast...a Hurricane Warning Is Issued For The Southwestern
Peninsula Of Haiti...from The Haiti/dominican Republic Border To
Port-au-prince...and A Tropical Storm Warning Is Issued From
Port-au-prince To The Northern Haiti/dominican Republic Border.
At 11 Pm Ast...the Hurricane Warning For Guadeloupe And Its
Dependencies Has Been Discontinued...and All Tropical Storm
Warnings Have Been Discontinued For The Following Islands Of The
Lesser Antilles...montserrat...antigua...nevis...st
Kitts...barbuda...and Anguilla.
A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For The South Coast Of The
Dominican Republic From Barahona Westward To The Haiti-dominican
Republic Border. A Hurricane Warning Means That Hurricane
Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24
Hours. Preparations To Protect Life And Property Should Be Rushed
To Completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The British Virgin
Islands....u.s. Virgin Islands And Puerto Rico. These Warnings
Will Likely Be Discontinued On Saturday Morning.
A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect Along The South Coast Of
The Dominican Republic From Cabo Engano Westward To Barahona.
A Hurricane Watch Is Also In Effect For Jamaica.
A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are
Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours. A
Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within
The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch Is In Effect For Portions Of Cuba...from The
Province Of Camaguey Eastward To The Province Of Guantanamo. A
Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are
Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.
Interests Elsewhere In The Central And Western Caribbean...including
Western Cuba...the Cayman Islands...and The Yucatan Peninsula Of
Mexico...should Closely Monitor The Progress Of Dean.
For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.
At 1100 Pm Ast...0300z...the Center Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Near Latitude 14.9 North...longitude 65.9 West Or About 755 Miles...
1210 Km...east-southeast Of Kingston Jamaica And About 240 Miles...
390 Km...south Of San Juan Puerto Rico.
Dean Is Moving Toward The West Near 18 Mph...30 Km/hr...and This
General Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next 24 Hours.
On This Track...the Core Of The Hurricane Will Be Moving Well South
Of Puerto Rico Tonight And South Of The Dominican Republic Early
Saturday.
Data From An Air Force Hurricane Hunter Aircraft Indicate That
Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 145 Mph...230 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dean Is A Category Four Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson
Hurricane Scale. Some Additional Strengthening Is Forecast During
The Next 24 Hours.
Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles...95 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 205
Miles...335 Km.
The Minimum Central Pressure Just Reported By The Aircraft Was 937
Mb...27.67 Inches.
Storm Total Rainfall Amounts Of 1 To 2 Inches Can Be Expected From
Dean Over Puerto Rico...the Dominican Republic And Haiti With
Maximum Amounts Up To 5 Inches Possible. These Rains Could Cause
Life-threatening Flash Floods And Mudslides
Repeating The 1100 Pm Ast Position...14.9 N...65.9 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 18 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...145 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...937 Mb.
An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 200 Am Ast Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 500
Am Ast.
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