We have a new invest 91L NW Caribbean - Cruise Line Fans: Cruise Reviews and Chat From Real Cruisers

sue miller · 08-13-2007, 11:09 AM

Not much on here but this has been around for a long time causing a lot of rain!! When I get more info I will post it!!

sue miller · 08-13-2007, 11:24 AM

They have already issued a model plot because it is close to land, There are not a lot of hours or days before it goes somewhere, but the gulf waters are explosive, this may change several times before any landfall, so just watch the weather!!

sue miller · 08-13-2007, 11:45 AM

If this does make landfall in the Brownsville area it would mean the upper mid Texas coast would get the highest squalls from this!! Maybe around a 48 hour timeframe!!

Char · 08-13-2007, 12:22 PM

Things are starting to heat up now! Thanks for staying on top of these systems!

sue miller · 08-13-2007, 12:24 PM

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad low
pressure area has formed in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico about
90 miles north-northeast of Cancun Mexico. Upper-level winds are
becoming more favorable for development of this system...and a
tropical depression could form later today or tomorrow as the low
moves to the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. Interests in the
western Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
An Air Force Reserve reconnassiance plane is scheduled to
investigate this system tomorrow...if necessary.

sue miller · 08-13-2007, 12:37 PM

sue miller · 08-13-2007, 12:46 PM

Recon set for tomorrow

87
NOUS42 KNHC 131530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT MON 13 AUGUST 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z AUGUST 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-082

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE
A. 14/1900Z
B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST
C. 14/1700Z
D. 23.5N 91.0W
E. 14/1700Z TO 14/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

sue miller · 08-13-2007, 02:41 PM

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert

Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 131430z Aug 07//
Wtnt02 Kngu 131500z
Ref/a/rmg/navlantmetoccen Norfolk Va/131130z Aug 07//
Ampn/ref Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtnt21 Kngu 131200)//
Rmks/
1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within
100 Nm Either Side Of A Line From 22.5n 86.3w To 25.7n 92.0w
Within The Next 12 To 24 Hours. Available Data Does Not Justify
Issuance Of Numbered Tropical Cyclone Warnings At This Time.
Winds In The Area Are Estimated To Be 25 To 35 Knots. Metsat Im-
Agery At 131200z Indicates That A Circulation Center Is Located
Near 21.8n 85.8w. The System Is Moving West-northwestward At 10
Knots.
2. Remarks:
3. This Alert Will Be Reissued, Upgraded To Warning Or Cancelled By 141500z.
4. See Ref A For Details On A Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert
Located Near 12.0n 30.0w

djgifford · 08-13-2007, 03:32 PM

Great information Sue...and the pictures!!! GREAT!

Thanks for sharing...

sue miller · 08-13-2007, 03:40 PM

Tropical Weather Discussion
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
205 Pm Edt Mon Aug 13 2007

...special Feature..

A 1011 Mb Surface Low Pressure Center Formed At 13/1500 Utc
Near 22n86.5w In The Yucatan Channel. Upper Level Winds Are
Becoming More Favorable For Development Of This System...and
It Is Possible That A Tropical Depression May Form Later Today
Or Tomorrow As The Low Moves To The West-northwest At 10 To
15 Mph. Residents In The Western Gulf Of Mexico Should Monitor
The Progress Of This System. An Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance
Plane Is Scheduled To Investigate This System Tomorrow If
Necessary. This Low Center Formed Along A Tropical Wave Along
86w/87w South Of 26n. Isolated To Widely Scattered Moderate
Showers And Possible Thunderstorms Are South Of 27n Between
82w And 88w. Upper Level Diffluent Wind Flow Has Been Created
In The Western Caribbean Sea Due To The Cyclonic Flow Around
The Central Gulf Of Mexico Middle To Upper Level Cyclonic
Circulation Center...and The Northeast-to-southwest Oriented
Caribbean Sea Middle To Upper Level Trough. Isolated To Widely
Scattered Moderate Showers And Possible Thunderstorms Also Are
North Of 14n West Of 78w. The Scattered Moderate To Isolated
Strong Showers And Thunderstorms South Of 12n Between 78w And
79w Are Probably More Related To The Middle To Upper Level
Trough That Stretches From The Northeastern Caribbean Sea
To The Southwestern Caribbean Sea.

13/1745 UTC 22.3N 87.0W T1.0/1.0 91L -- Atlantic Ocean
We also have t-#'s, these are new!!