Bertha to Brush Bermuda? - Page 2 - Cruise Line Fans: Cruise Forum, Reviews and Chat From Real Cruisers

canarymoon · 07-12-2008, 09:35 AM

Those kinds of decisions are made at the time, and based on condidions at sea, what other ports within sailing range might have available berthing space on the day or days in question, which direction the storm is going, and if swells from the storm are affecting other ports.

So, bottom line is, there's no set answer, and the decision may not be made too awfully far in advance. Just be prepared for a possible change.

canarymoon · 07-12-2008, 03:22 PM

Bermuda Weather Service's forecast for next few days

Marine Synopsis -

Significant southeasterly swells affect Bermuda as Hurricane Bertha approaches, becoming easterly Monday before diminishing as a notherly swell Tuesday. A tropical storm warning will likely remain in force for high winds and seas for the next couple of days during the passage of Hurricane Bertha to the east.

Today -

Winds northeasterly 10 to 20 knots... Scattered showers with fair visibility. Building southeasterly swells... Seas inside the reef 2 to 4 ft... Outside the reef 9 to 15 ft... Sunrise: 6:21 am.
Tonight -

Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, gradually increasing 20 to 30 knots, backing north-northeasterly later... Scattered showers with fair visibility. Building southeasterly swells.... Seas inside the reef 2 to 5 ft... Outside the reef 9 to 15 ft... Sunset: 8:27 pm.
Sunday -

Winds north-northeasterly 25 to 35 knots, backing northerly in the afternoon... Patchy rain or showers with fair to poor visibility. Southeasterly swells becoming easterly... Seas inside the reef 2 to 5 ft... Outside the reef 9 to 15 ft... Sunrise: 6:22 am; Sunset: 8:27 pm.

canarymoon · 07-12-2008, 03:24 PM

Monday -

Winds north-northwesterly 25 to 35 knots gusts to 45 knots, slowly backing northwesterly and easing 20 to 30 knots... Rain or showers with fair to poor visibility. Easterly swells becoming north-northeasterly... Seas inside the reef 2 to 5 ft... Outside the reef 9 to 15 ft... Sunrise: 6:22 am; Sunset: 8:27 pm.
Tuesday -

Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, backing west-northwesterly and easing slightly later... Isolated showers with fair visibility. Northerly swells decay... Seas inside the reef 2 to 4 ft... Outside the reef 6 to 12 ft, decreasing... Sunrise: 6:23 am; Sunset: 8:26 pm.
Wednesday -

Winds west-northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, veering northwesterly later... Chance of one or two showers with fair visibility... Seas inside the reef 2 to 3 ft... Outside the reef 5 to 9 ft, decreasing... Sunrise: 6:24 am; Sunset: 8:26 pm.

FROM: Bermuda Weather Service

canarymoon · 07-13-2008, 08:33 AM

From the NHC's 5 am Advisory:

BERTHA IS CURRENTLY NEARLY STATIONARY. A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PASS NOT FAR TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...ALTHOUGH THE MOTION COULD BE ERRATIC AT TIMES AND COULD BRING THE CENTER OF BERTHA CLOSER TO BERMUDA THAN THE FORECAST TRACK INDICATES.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 2 TO 4 INCHES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS

canarymoon · 07-13-2008, 10:23 AM

NOTE: You may have to click your browser refresh button get the latest image.
Forecast track may be liable to large error - please monitor for further updates
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA is a threat to Bermuda.

Current Position: 29.8N 62.5W approx. 193 nm SE of Bermuda

Recent Movement: STATIONARY
Central Pressure: 988 mb / 29.17 in
Max Sustained Winds: 60kt gusts 75kt
Closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs:
Date: 5 pm Mon, Jul 14, 2008. Distance: 57 nm to the E