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tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 am edt sat jun 27 2009

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave over the
northwestern caribbean sea have decreased during the past several
hours. Significant development of this system is not anticipated
before it reaches the yucatan peninsula later today. However...
Environmental conditions could become favorable for some
development once the system emerges into the southern gulf of
mexico later tonight or sunday. There is a medium chance...30 to 50
percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours. Locally heavy rains are possible over portions of
western cuba and honduras today and could spread westward into
northern central america and the yucatan peninsula during the next
day or so.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster blake
nnnn

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