613
abnt20 knhc 262331
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt fri jun 26 2009

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

Satellite images indicate that a tropical wave over the northwestern
caribbean sea continues to produce a large but disorganized area of
showers and thunderstorms from the coast of honduras northward to
western cuba. There are no signs of a surface circulation at this
time...and significant development of this system is not expected
before it reaches the yucatan peninsula early on saturday.
However...environmental conditions could become favorable for
development once the system emerges into the southern gulf of
mexico late saturday or sunday. There is a medium chance...30 to 50
percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours. Locally heavy rains will continue over portions of
cuba and honduras this evening and spread westward over northern
central america and the yucatan peninsula over the next day or so.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster blake

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