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Old 06-22-2009, 08:02 PM canarymoon is offline     #28 (permalink)
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tropical storm andres advisory number 5
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep022009
200 pm pdt mon jun 22 2009

...andres continues to organize...
...hurricane warnings issued for the southwestern coast of mexico...

At 200 pm pdt the government of mexico has issued a hurricane warning for the southwestern coast of mexico from punto san telmo to cabo corrientes. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area
within 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch remain in effect for the southwestern coast of mexico from lazaro cardenas to punto san telmo.

Interests elsewhere along the southwestern coast of mexico should monitor the progress of andres.


At 200 pm pdt the center of tropical storm andres was located near latitude 16.2 north...longitude 102.4 west or about 125 miles south of lazaro cardenas mexico and about 230 miles south-southeast of manzanillo mexico.

Andres is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 to 36 hours with a gradual increase in forward speed. On the forecast track...andres will pass very close to the southwestern coast of mexico in the warning area on tuesday and tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and andres could become a hurricane on tuesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb.

Andres is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over portions of west-central mexico...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...are possible as andres moves close to the warning area.

...summary of 200 pm pdt information...
Location...16.2n 102.4w
maximum sustained winds...60 mph
present movement...northwest or 315 degrees at 6 mph
minimum central pressure...995 mb

an intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane
center at 500 pm pdt followed by the next complete advisory at 800
pm pdt.

$$
forecaster brennan/blake

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