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Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n...east of 140w.
Based on 0000 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 utc.
...special feature...
tropical depression two-e has been upgraded to tropical storm
andres at 03/0300 utc...centered near 14.8n 101.9w or about 205
miles s of zihuatanejo mexico at 031/0300 utc moving w 8 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained
winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. See latest nhc public advisory under
awips/wmo headers miatcpep/wtpz32 knhc and the full forecast
advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcmep wtpz22 knhc for more
details. Satellite visible imagery from throughout the early
evening hours are showing that the overall cloud structure and
associated convection continues to become better organized under
favorable upper level conditions. What earlier appeared to be
a tight banding feature trying to wrap under the center from
the w...has given way to an increasing large cluster of numerous
strong convection within 120 nm of the center in the s quadrant.
Scattered strong convection is elsewhere within 90 nm in the
s semicircle...and a 60 nm wide band that extends from 13n104w
to 16n104w to 18n102w. Scattered moderate/isolated strong
exists from 12.5n-13n between 103w-105w and within 30 nm
of a line from 14n98w to 16n99w. Andres is forecast to gradually
strengthen through the next 48 hours per latest nhc forecast
forecast.
Clusters of convection are noted well e of the center to
along and offshore the central american coast from el salvador
to the gulf of tehuantepec with scattered moderate/isolated
strong convection from 9n-16n between 91w-98w including the gulf
of tehuantepec. Heavy rains are likely over much of southern and
sw mexico...primarily along the coastal sections...within the
next couple of days. In addition scattered strong convective
clusters are developing along the coast of northern and central
panama.
aguirre
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