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CLF Officer
Location: RCL pier: 12 min
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 56,631
Frubals:2147483647
Activity:  Today:  |
Second Half of June Outlook
At this point, Masters is saying we have a 20% chance of seeing something develop in the second half of June. AIntrestingly, he points to the waters off North Carolina as a specific area to watch in the very near term. See copy of his summary paragraph, below.
Summary
Recent history suggests a 29% chance of a named storm occurring in the second half of June. Given that the current SST pattern and two-week wind shear forecast look fairly typical for June, I'll go with a 20% chance of a named storm forming during the last half of June. There's currently nothing out there of note, but we should start watching the region off the North Carolina coast 4 - 7 days from now.
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