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I just copied and pasted from another forum...sorry!!
This is a good place for information...Unfortunately, Jamaica has a lot of mountainous areas that flooding and mudslides were bad. My girlfriend, in Ochos Rios, says that the wind was moderate (with some big time gusts) and the rain was torrential. BUT...for a tropical system, was pretty mild. The biggest problem they had was the speed at which it was moving (or wasn't moving) - When you get a heavy rain storm that doesnt move...well, duh - Lots and Lots of rain...
The Caymans are so flat - no mudslides...And the water around Grand Cayman is so shallow, that there shouldnt be any problems with surge...The wind is picking up, but like they said - anything that can be "blown away" was gone 3 years ago. A lot of rain and a slow moving storm - that could be a problem. I'm more worried about the ecological impacts...I remember a day when the reefs off Coz were amazing - and they are not much to brag about these days, from what I hear. I will get to see first hand in November...
I am a weather geek - I'm watching all the models and projections...I still question landfall - I think it will be East of the Big Easy, but I dunno...with it moving so gosh darn slow, its hard to predict anything but a deluge of water from the heavens...
Strengthening? Probably - warm, deep water - steering currents - shifting high pressure...But remember he is quite small...nothing like Katrina was. So, if we can get him moving more than 5kt, things may be ok...
Prayers
(I also have a GOOD FRIEND on Grand Bahama...you can bet we will be in touch!)
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