WTNT32 KNHC 122035
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 PM AST SAT JUL 12 2008

...BERTHA BARELY A HURRICANE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 500 PM AST THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE DAY BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWARD DRIFT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA WILL BE SLOWLY PASSING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA...DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BUT THE MOTION COULD OCCASIONALLY BE ERRATIC.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER USTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 984 MB.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...29.9 N...62.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 1 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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