WTNT32 KNHC 121733
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
200 PM AST SAT JUL 12 2008

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS A SLIGHTLY WEAKER BERTHA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 200 PM AST THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. HOWEVER...BERTHA SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH LATER TONIGHT. THIS GENERAL SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA...BUT THE MOTION COULD OCCASIONALLY BE ERRATIC.

PRELIMINARY DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NO IMPORTANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 983 MB.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...29.9 N...62.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

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